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Iraq Monitorعين على العراقPrimary-source intelligence
THE ECONOMIC DESK · THE DINAR · 4 OCTOBER 2026

The street dollar

Iraq has two prices for a dollar: the Central Bank’s, for banks and approved transfers, and the street’s, for everyone else. The gap between them is the clearest daily sign of pressure on the dinar — and the bank’s dollars are running down.

21.5%

more than the official rate is what a dollar cost on Baghdad’s exchange this morning (4 October): 1,580 dinars, against the Central Bank’s 1,300. When our record starts, on 24 July, the gap was 14.8%.

01

Two prices for one dollar

The official rate has barely moved (1,310 to 1,300); the street has. Every session on the Baghdad bourse since 24 July, morning and close.

1,3001,4001,5001,600JulAugSepOct1,580 street1,300 official+21.5%

Dinars for one dollar · Baghdad bourse (al-Kifah) against the Central Bank’s official rate · point at the chart to read a session

02

The cushion

The Central Bank holds the dollars that keep the official rate. It had $80.6bn in July 2026, against $111.7bn in December 2023 — $21.5bn of the fall since February 2026 alone.

15.1months of dollar sales — if the bank kept selling at the past year’s pace and no oil money came in; it was 17.5 in April 2026.

$111.7bnDec 2023$80.6bnJul 2026
03

Dollars out, oil dollars in

The bank’s dollars come from oil: SOMO sells the crude, the Finance Ministry sells the dollars to the bank, the bank sells them to importers. In a normal month the two are close. From March 2026 to June 2026, the bank sold $18.9bn while oil brought in $5.4bn. The difference came out of the cushion.

  • Dollars the Central Bank sold
  • Dollars oil earned
0$2bn$4bn$6bn$8bn$10bnJanuary 2024: sold $7.98bn, oil earned $8.04bn2024February 2024: sold $6.57bn, oil earned $7.75bnMarch 2024: sold $5.22bn, oil earned $8.61bnApril 2024: sold $5.41bn, oil earned $8.67bnMay 2024: sold $5.26bn, oil earned $8.29bnJune 2024: sold $4.30bn, oil earned $8.33bnJuly 2024: sold $6.57bn, oil earned $8.73bnAugust 2024: sold $6.01bn, oil earned $7.98bnSeptember 2024: sold $7.14bn, oil earned $7.05bnOctober 2024: sold $8.12bn, oil earned $7.39bnNovember 2024: sold $6.49bn, oil earned $6.99bnDecember 2024: sold $8.58bn, oil earned $7.20bnJanuary 2025: sold $7.27bn, oil earned $7.93bn2025February 2025: sold $7.73bn, oil earned $7.14bnMarch 2025: sold $5.80bn, oil earned $7.72bnApril 2025: sold $7.39bn, oil earned $6.74bnMay 2025: sold $7.01bn, oil earned $6.36bnJune 2025: sold $5.70bn, oil earned $6.70bnJuly 2025: sold $7.08bn, oil earned $7.18bnAugust 2025: sold $5.85bn, oil earned $7.16bnSeptember 2025: sold $6.95bn, oil earned $6.96bnOctober 2025: sold $6.49bn, oil earned $7.03bnNovember 2025: sold $5.98bn, oil earned $6.60bnDecember 2025: sold $7.11bn, oil earned $6.39bnJanuary 2026: sold $2.88bn, oil earned $6.49bn2026February 2026: sold $4.13bn, oil earned $6.81bnMarch 2026: sold $3.39bn, oil earned $1.96bnApril 2026: sold $4.56bn, oil earned $1.09bnMay 2026: sold $5.09bn, oil earned $0.84bnJune 2026: sold $5.86bn, oil earned $1.50bnAugust 2026: sold $3.70bn, oil earned $4.50bn (provisional)

HOW THESE NUMBERS ARE MADE