Militia tempo — first-party pace vs 8-week baseline

x baseline · daily · compiled · Iraq Monitor militia desk

The desk’s escalation gauge: today’s Iraqi first-party threats and calls to escalate across the watched militia network, against what its own 8-week pace predicts for a day with this much traffic. 1.0 is a usual day. Attack claims are NOT in it — a claim is a statement about something already done, and it has its own record. Content in somebody else’s voice is excluded. The multiple publishes once the baseline has 28 days plus a week held back, so 35 collected days in all.